Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 75843.201267 80122.241477 84404.750476 89009.258542 93816.861995 98685.329192 103985.013171
2026-01-04 69259.388909 75807.424544 82546.609254 89991.456773 97975.753087 106271.973807 115534.421857
2026-01-11 64375.033699 72473.591944 80994.634889 90609.194201 101136.091371 112291.666604 124987.341049
2026-01-18 60291.417126 69513.866652 79399.619413 90752.864747 103398.317722 117017.294188 132760.219568
2026-01-25 57000.504264 67112.459143 78129.764422 90978.427114 105502.783938 121363.492619 139943.027163
2026-02-01 54007.965589 64816.794741 76768.974121 90902.495452 107092.581511 124991.837229 146207.703490
2026-02-08 51879.377270 63352.369305 76209.956594 91604.828125 109450.113157 129396.973260 153287.388351
2026-02-15 49564.311741 61535.046074 75122.174141 91583.280127 110878.297948 132668.052718 159019.972067
2026-02-22 48219.758236 60771.767980 75183.631632 92830.083216 113722.059815 137532.177031 166576.543854
2026-03-01 46772.221024 59805.168904 74935.368947 93649.867454 116017.509146 141731.120379 173353.108819
2026-03-08 44966.868367 58324.244710 74000.888614 93584.969802 117210.015973 144599.081991 178547.818521
2026-03-15 43493.583245 57183.204826 73416.180358 93885.994201 118795.249777 147901.507517 184244.214362
2026-03-22 42675.585865 56830.157837 73778.061666 95337.787086 121787.280381 152920.641186 192059.694137
2026-03-29 41695.351097 56234.039359 73809.773919 96362.428275 124251.590162 157315.862831 199159.035100
2026-04-05 40597.965709 55445.017826 73564.163716 97012.408322 126236.163627 161125.762974 205564.531883
2026-04-12 39332.207591 54393.540347 72948.313985 97163.586784 127577.025797 164138.060619 211001.783441
2026-04-19 38181.787233 53448.577331 72428.955304 97401.909947 129000.398699 167237.646823 216547.557776
2026-04-26 36951.973088 52357.799751 71685.705737 97321.590367 129997.205081 169795.636620 221424.671445
2026-05-03 36152.159597 51803.346267 71604.646583 98064.129073 132017.029107 173617.985819 227879.059056
2026-05-10 35064.217894 50830.410684 70950.416394 98041.346209 133044.402539 176193.117639 232784.539221
2026-05-17 34596.179318 50670.069464 71340.209945 99359.400083 135781.278738 180918.424183 240404.219559
2026-05-24 33965.813046 50267.773795 71393.978599 100225.934766 137932.734678 184912.163503 247125.652702
2026-05-31 32987.484444 49360.740984 70753.256170 100157.338920 138858.215673 187345.945707 251881.337534